105.9 baseline — 0.6 × season 108.9 (18 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 101.4
−9.1 opponent leak — they concede 1543/game vs a 1687.8 league average
−24.9 at this ground — averages 81 there (74 gm)
vs them: averages 92.3 over 6 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
WAR concede · Run Metres
1543.0per game · league avg 1687.8
#15 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Run Metres
At Suncorp Stadium81.0(74)-12.4
Everywhere else93.5(54)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Run Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)85.0(9)-1.4
Dry games86.4(119)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs WAR · Run Metres
Avg diff
-32.1
Avg diff %
-28%
Hit rate
1/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-07PENIsaiah Papali'i122.476-38%
08-07PENLiam Henry119.882-32%
08-07PENNathan Cleary100.252-48%
08-07PENLindsay Smith98.3104+6%
08-07PENMoses Leota104.197-7%
08-07PENIsaah Yeo120.652-57%
08-07PENJaxen Edgar107.383-23%
08-01GLDJojo Fifita118.588-26%
Similar = season average within ±16.3 of Jordan's. Computed from this app's own records.