1.5 baseline — 0.6 × season 1.4 (17 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 1.6
−0.2 opponent leak — they concede 20.8/game vs a 23.7 league average
vs them: averages 0.4 over 9 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▼opponent ▼projection ·
Most signals here point under while you're on the over — worth reading the working above before you commit.
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
CRO concede · Points
20.8per game · league avg 23.7
#14 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Points
At Ocean Protect Stadium—(0)
Everywhere else1.2(133)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Points
Wet games (≥1mm)1.2(13)
Dry games1.2(120)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs CRO · Points
Avg diff
-0.1
Avg diff %
-53%
Hit rate
1/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-09SGILyhkan King-Togia0.000%
08-09SGIEmre Guler0.20-100%
08-09SGIMoses Suli0.70-100%
08-09SGITyrell Sloan2.34+78%
08-09SGIKyle Flanagan0.30-100%
08-09SGILoko Jnr Pasifiki Tonga0.000%
08-09SGIClinton Gutherson0.70-100%
08-09SGIDylan Egan0.30-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Matthew's. Computed from this app's own records.