3.8 baseline — 0.6 × season 3.8 (9 gm) + 0.4 × last 9 3.8
+0.1 opponent leak — they concede 33.6/game vs a 32.7 league average
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o3.5
Game conditionsMcDonald Jones Stadium · NewcastleRound 24 · 2026-08-16 14:00☁ 15.7°C☂ 0.9mm (77%)🌬 7.7 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Sialevs all playersStatNEW concedePer game
130.2
80
Run Metresneutral
56
1722.7
Siale 130.2/game
NEW concedes 1722.7/game · league avg 1687.8
#8 of 17 clubs most conceded
3.8
93
Tackle Breaksfavorable
69
33.6
Siale 3.8/game
NEW concedes 33.6/game · league avg 32.7
#6 of 17 clubs most conceded
2.8
7
Tacklesunfavorable
19
333.3
Siale 2.8/game
NEW concedes 333.3/game · league avg 344.7
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.4
86
Triesneutral
38
4.0
Siale 0.4/game
NEW concedes 4.0/game · league avg 4.2
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
58
Try Assistsneutral
50
3.5
Siale 0.1/game
NEW concedes 3.5/game · league avg 3.5
#8 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
70
Line Breaksneutral
38
4.5
Siale 0.3/game
NEW concedes 4.5/game · league avg 5.1
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
49
Offloadsneutral
63
10.2
Siale 0.3/game
NEW concedes 10.2/game · league avg 9.7
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
46.6
85
Post Contact Metresfavorable
63
559.8
Siale 46.6/game
NEW concedes 559.8/game · league avg 544.6
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresneutral
Siale130.2
80
NEW1722.7
56
Siale 130.2/game
NEW concedes 1722.7/game · league avg 1687.8
#8 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksfavorable
Siale3.8
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
NEW concede · Tackle Breaks
33.6per game · league avg 32.7
#6 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Tackle Breaks
At McDonald Jones Stadium—(0)
Everywhere else3.8(9)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Tackle Breaks
Wet games (≥1mm)—(0)
Dry games3.8(9)
Only 0 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs NEW · Tackle Breaks
Avg diff
+0.1
Avg diff %
+3%
Hit rate
5/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-01BRIDeine Mariner3.45+49%
08-01BRIKotoni Staggs3.62-44%
08-01BRIPayne Haas3.54+16%
07-24SYDRobert Toia4.59+99%
07-24SYDBilly Smith3.030%
07-24SYDNaufahu Whyte2.93+3%
07-24SYDJames Tedesco4.95+3%
07-24SYDMark Nawaqanitawase4.10-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Siale's. Computed from this app's own records.