130.2 baseline — 0.6 × season 130.2 (9 gm) + 0.4 × last 9 130.2
+2.7 opponent leak — they concede 1722.7/game vs a 1687.8 league average
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 21: 0 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o130.5
Game conditionsMcDonald Jones Stadium · NewcastleRound 24 · 2026-08-16 14:00☁ 15.7°C☂ 0.9mm (77%)🌬 7.7 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Sialevs all playersStatNEW concedePer game
130.2
80
Run Metresneutral
56
1722.7
Siale 130.2/game
NEW concedes 1722.7/game · league avg 1687.8
#8 of 17 clubs most conceded
3.8
93
Tackle Breaksfavorable
69
33.6
Siale 3.8/game
NEW concedes 33.6/game · league avg 32.7
#6 of 17 clubs most conceded
2.8
7
Tacklesunfavorable
19
333.3
Siale 2.8/game
NEW concedes 333.3/game · league avg 344.7
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.4
86
Triesneutral
38
4.0
Siale 0.4/game
NEW concedes 4.0/game · league avg 4.2
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
58
Try Assistsneutral
50
3.5
Siale 0.1/game
NEW concedes 3.5/game · league avg 3.5
#8 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
70
Line Breaksneutral
38
4.5
Siale 0.3/game
NEW concedes 4.5/game · league avg 5.1
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
49
Offloadsneutral
63
10.2
Siale 0.3/game
NEW concedes 10.2/game · league avg 9.7
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
46.6
85
Post Contact Metresfavorable
63
559.8
Siale 46.6/game
NEW concedes 559.8/game · league avg 544.6
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresneutral
Siale130.2
80
NEW1722.7
56
Siale 130.2/game
NEW concedes 1722.7/game · league avg 1687.8
#8 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksfavorable
Siale3.8
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
NEW concede · Run Metres
1722.7per game · league avg 1687.8
#8 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Run Metres
At McDonald Jones Stadium—(0)
Everywhere else130.2(9)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Run Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)—(0)
Dry games130.2(9)
Only 0 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs NEW · Run Metres
Avg diff
-10.3
Avg diff %
-9%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-01BRIReece Walsh133.8168+26%
08-01BRIPatrick Carrigan127.191-28%
08-01BRIXavier Willison124.60-100%
08-01BRIDeine Mariner134.8152+13%
08-01BRIKotoni Staggs118.4125+6%
07-24SYDSiua Wong114.6111-3%
07-24SYDNat Butcher125.9108-14%
07-17CROWilliam Kennedy148.1190+28%
Similar = season average within ±19.5 of Siale's. Computed from this app's own records.