1.5 baseline — 0.6 × season 1.5 (4 gm) + 0.4 × last 4 1.5
−0.5 opponent leak — they concede 15.1/game vs a 23.7 league average
vs them: averages 0.0 over 1 game — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
PEN concede · Points
15.1per game · league avg 23.7
#17 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Points
At CommBank Stadium—(0)
Everywhere else1.5(4)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Points
Wet games (≥1mm)—(0)
Dry games1.5(4)
Only 0 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs PEN · Points
Avg diff
-0.5
Avg diff %
-69%
Hit rate
1/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-07WARJames Fisher-Harris0.50-100%
08-07WARKurt Capewell0.80-100%
08-07WARAli Leiataua0.90-100%
08-07WARLeka Halasima1.40-100%
08-07WARWayde Egan0.40-100%
08-07WARMitchell Barnett0.000%
08-07WARCharnze Nicoll-Klokstad2.84+44%
08-07WARJacob Laban0.80-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Toby's. Computed from this app's own records.
Liam Henry1.5