13.0 baseline — 0.6 × season 13.0 (4 gm) + 0.4 × last 4 13.0
−0.9 opponent leak — they concede 1576.6/game vs a 1687.8 league average
vs them: averages 0.0 over 1 game — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
PEN concede · Run Metres
1576.6per game · league avg 1687.8
#13 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Run Metres
At CommBank Stadium—(0)
Everywhere else13.0(4)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Run Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)—(0)
Dry games13.0(4)
Only 0 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs PEN · Run Metres
Avg diff
-5.3
Avg diff %
-45%
Hit rate
2/6
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
07-16BRICory Paix13.07-46%
05-10CBRJordan Uta11.30-100%
04-26NEWPhoenix Crossland13.821+52%
04-03MELPreston Conn11.50-100%
03-20SYDBlake Steep12.315+22%
03-06BRICory Paix13.00-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.9 of Toby's. Computed from this app's own records.
Liam Henry119.5