15.8 baseline — 0.6 × season 16.1 (12 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 15.3
−0.4 opponent leak — they concede 181.2/game vs a 185.9 league average
−0.5 at this ground — averages 15.3 there (4 gm)
vs them: averages 12.8 over 6 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▼opponent ▼venue ▼projection ▼
Most signals here point under while you're on the over — worth reading the working above before you commit.
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
CBY concede · Runs
181.2per game · league avg 185.9
#13 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Runs
At Accor Stadium15.3(4)+1.2
Everywhere else14.1(98)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Runs
Wet games (≥1mm)14.9(7)+0.8
Dry games14.1(95)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs CBY · Runs
Avg diff
+2.2
Avg diff %
+14%
Hit rate
7/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-07SYDMark Nawaqanitawase16.717+2%
08-07SYDBilly Smith17.025+47%
08-07SYDNaufahu Whyte16.120+25%
08-07SYDNat Butcher13.717+24%
07-25WARTaine Tuaupiki15.711-30%
07-25WARMitchell Barnett16.118+12%
07-25WARJames Fisher-Harris16.517+3%
07-25WARDallin Watene-Zelezniak15.720+27%
Similar = season average within ±2.4 of David's. Computed from this app's own records.