22.6 baseline — 0.6 × season 22.7 (12 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 22.4
+0.6 opponent leak — they concede 354.1/game vs a 344.9 league average
+3.1 at this ground — averages 25.7 there (9 gm)
vs them: averages 25.8 over 4 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ·opponent ▲venue ▲projection ▲
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 8: 11 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
CBY concede · Tackles
354.1per game · league avg 344.9
#4 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Tackles
At Accor Stadium25.7(9)-0.1
Everywhere else25.7(94)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Tackles
Wet games (≥1mm)25.9(9)+0.2
Dry games25.7(94)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs CBY · Tackles
Avg diff
-4.2
Avg diff %
-19%
Hit rate
2/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-07SYDRobert Toia19.720+1%
08-07SYDConnor Watson25.619-26%
08-07SYDLindsay Collins22.419-15%
08-07SYDNaufahu Whyte23.615-36%
08-07SYDDaly Cherry-Evans21.613-40%
07-31MELCooper Clarke26.024-8%
07-31MELAlec MacDonald24.928+13%
07-31MELJoe Chan20.212-40%
Similar = season average within ±3.4 of Brandon's. Computed from this app's own records.