44.2 baseline — 0.6 × season 41.4 (13 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 48.5
−3.8 opponent leak — they concede 1543/game vs a 1687.8 league average
+1.3 at this ground — averages 45.6 there (9 gm)
vs them: averages 95.0 over 1 game — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
WAR concede · Run Metres
1543.0per game · league avg 1687.8
#15 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Run Metres
At Suncorp Stadium45.6(9)+24.2
Everywhere else21.3(6)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Run Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(1)-38.4
Dry games38.4(14)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs WAR · Run Metres
Avg diff
-9.6
Avg diff %
-23%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-01GLDJosh Patston36.9370%
08-01GLDOliver Pascoe41.115-64%
08-01GLDJaylan De Groot39.00-100%
07-18SGIKyle Flanagan37.953+40%
06-27DOLJeremy Marshall-King43.349+13%
06-27DOLBradley Schneider35.356+59%
06-21NQLSam McIntyre40.50-100%
06-13CROBraydon Trindall41.729-30%
Similar = season average within ±6.2 of Va'a's. Computed from this app's own records.