2.2 baseline — 0.6 × season 2.1 (11 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 2.3
+0.0 opponent leak — they concede 347.8/game vs a 344.7 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (1 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 4.0 over 1 game — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
← the price your bookie is offering
Splits · o2.5
Game conditions4 Pines Park · SydneyRound 24 · 2026-08-14 18:00☁ 13.6°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 10.2 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Tevitavs all playersStatMAN concedePer game
114.9
71
Run Metresunfavorable
31
1613.3
Tevita 114.9/game
MAN concedes 1613.3/game · league avg 1687.8
#12 of 17 clubs most conceded
3.3
88
Tackle Breaksneutral
38
31.9
Tevita 3.3/game
MAN concedes 31.9/game · league avg 32.7
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
2.1
5
Tacklesneutral
56
347.8
Tevita 2.1/game
MAN concedes 347.8/game · league avg 344.7
#8 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
70
Triesunfavorable
25
3.8
Tevita 0.3/game
MAN concedes 3.8/game · league avg 4.2
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
54
Try Assistsunfavorable
25
3.1
Tevita 0.1/game
MAN concedes 3.1/game · league avg 3.5
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.9
96
Line Breaksunfavorable
19
4.5
Tevita 0.9/game
MAN concedes 4.5/game · league avg 5.1
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
21
Offloadsneutral
100
11.6
Tevita 0.1/game
MAN concedes 11.6/game · league avg 9.7
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
31.5
59
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
31
514.9
Tevita 31.5/game
MAN concedes 514.9/game · league avg 544.6
#12 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Tevita114.9
71
MAN1613.3
31
Tevita 114.9/game
MAN concedes 1613.3/game · league avg 1687.8
#12 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksneutral
Tevita3.3
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
MAN concede · Tackles
347.8per game · league avg 344.7
#8 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Tackles
At 4 Pines Park4.0(1)+1.6
Everywhere else2.4(19)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Tackles
Wet games (≥1mm)4.0(1)+1.6
Dry games2.4(19)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs MAN · Tackles
Avg diff
+0.8
Avg diff %
+22%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08MELSiulagi Tuimalatu-Brown2.51-61%
07-26CROSione Katoa1.51-32%
07-19GLDKeano Kini3.32-38%
07-19GLDPhillip Sami3.62-44%
06-27MELSiulagi Tuimalatu-Brown2.58+215%
06-27MELJosiah Pahulu0.90-100%
06-20CBYConnor Tracey2.84+41%
06-20CBYJethro Rinakama2.78+195%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Tevita's. Computed from this app's own records.
Nathan Brown19.5