121.4 baseline — 0.6 × season 118.5 (18 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 125.8
+2.1 opponent leak — they concede 1715.7/game vs a 1686.6 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (3 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 134.3 over 7 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▲opponent ▲projection ·
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o118.5
Game conditionsMcDonald Jones Stadium · NewcastleRound 24 · 2026-08-16 14:00☁ 16.5°C☂ 0.3mm (64%)🌬 16.8 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Jojovs all playersStatNEW concedePer game
118.5
73
Run Metresfavorable
63
1715.7
Jojo 118.5/game
NEW concedes 1715.7/game · league avg 1686.6
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
2.5
78
Tackle Breaksfavorable
69
33.7
Jojo 2.5/game
NEW concedes 33.7/game · league avg 32.8
#6 of 17 clubs most conceded
17.2
52
Tacklesunfavorable
19
335.0
Jojo 17.2/game
NEW concedes 335.0/game · league avg 344.9
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.4
82
Triesneutral
38
4.0
Jojo 0.4/game
NEW concedes 4.0/game · league avg 4.2
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
66
Try Assistsneutral
50
3.4
Jojo 0.2/game
NEW concedes 3.4/game · league avg 3.5
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.5
82
Line Breaksunfavorable
25
4.5
Jojo 0.5/game
NEW concedes 4.5/game · league avg 5.1
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.7
76
Offloadsfavorable
63
10.0
Jojo 0.7/game
NEW concedes 10.0/game · league avg 9.7
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
45.3
83
Post Contact Metresfavorable
63
558.0
Jojo 45.3/game
NEW concedes 558.0/game · league avg 544.2
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresfavorable
Jojo118.5
73
NEW1715.7
63
Jojo 118.5/game
NEW concedes 1715.7/game · league avg 1686.6
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksfavorable
Jojo2.5
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
NEW concede · Run Metres
1715.7per game · league avg 1686.6
#7 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Run Metres
At McDonald Jones Stadium159.0(3)+47.1
Everywhere else111.9(78)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Run Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)127.5(6)+15.0
Dry games112.5(75)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs NEW · Run Metres
Avg diff
-26.1
Avg diff %
-20%
Hit rate
2/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-09CBRSavelio Tamale135.30-100%
08-09CBRXavier Savage131.876-42%
08-09CBRCorey Horsburgh115.7112-3%
08-09CBRJoseph Tapine135.0129-4%
08-01BRIPatrick Carrigan127.191-28%
08-01BRIDeine Mariner134.8152+13%
08-01BRIReece Walsh133.8168+26%
08-01BRIJordan Riki108.986-21%
Similar = season average within ±17.8 of Jojo's. Computed from this app's own records.