0.6 baseline — 0.6 × season 0.6 (20 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 0.5
+0.0 opponent leak — they concede 10.2/game vs a 9.7 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (2 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 0.7 over 6 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o0.5
Game conditionsMcDonald Jones Stadium · NewcastleRound 24 · 2026-08-16 14:00☁ 15.7°C☂ 0.9mm (77%)🌬 7.7 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Phillipvs all playersStatNEW concedePer game
218.1
100
Run Metresneutral
56
1722.7
Phillip 218.1/game
NEW concedes 1722.7/game · league avg 1687.8
#8 of 17 clubs most conceded
3.5
90
Tackle Breaksfavorable
69
33.6
Phillip 3.5/game
NEW concedes 33.6/game · league avg 32.7
#6 of 17 clubs most conceded
3.5
10
Tacklesunfavorable
19
333.3
Phillip 3.5/game
NEW concedes 333.3/game · league avg 344.7
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.7
95
Triesneutral
38
4.0
Phillip 0.7/game
NEW concedes 4.0/game · league avg 4.2
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
39
Try Assistsneutral
50
3.5
Phillip 0.1/game
NEW concedes 3.5/game · league avg 3.5
#8 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.6
88
Line Breaksneutral
38
4.5
Phillip 0.6/game
NEW concedes 4.5/game · league avg 5.1
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.6
68
Offloadsneutral
63
10.2
Phillip 0.6/game
NEW concedes 10.2/game · league avg 9.7
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
79.7
100
Post Contact Metresfavorable
63
559.8
Phillip 79.7/game
NEW concedes 559.8/game · league avg 544.6
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresneutral
Phillip218.1
100
NEW1722.7
56
Phillip 218.1/game
NEW concedes 1722.7/game · league avg 1687.8
#8 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksfavorable
Phillip3.5
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
NEW concede · Offloads
10.2per game · league avg 9.7
#7 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Offloads
At McDonald Jones Stadium1.5(2)+0.9
Everywhere else0.6(107)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Offloads
Wet games (≥1mm)1.1(8)+0.5
Dry games0.6(101)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs NEW · Offloads
Avg diff
+0.2
Avg diff %
+12%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-01BRIDeine Mariner0.10-100%
08-01BRIAdam Reynolds0.10-100%
08-01BRIJosiah Karapani0.000%
08-01BRIKotoni Staggs0.92+113%
08-01BRIGrant Anderson0.40-100%
08-01BRIEzra Mam0.21+350%
08-01BRIReece Walsh0.71+36%
08-01BRIVa'a Semu0.10-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Phillip's. Computed from this app's own records.