0.1 baseline — 0.6 × season 0.1 (16 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 0.1
+0.0 opponent leak — they concede 4.5/game vs a 3.5 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (2 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 1.0 over 2 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▼opponent ▲projection ·
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 10: 1 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away. Round 23: 1 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
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Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
WST concede · Try Assists
4.5per game · league avg 3.5
#1 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Try Assists
At CommBank Stadium1.0(2)+0.7
Everywhere else0.3(36)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Try Assists
Wet games (≥1mm)0.3(3)
Dry games0.3(35)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs WST · Try Assists
Avg diff
+0.1
Avg diff %
-10%
Hit rate
2/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-02PARJordan Samrani0.10-100%
08-02PARMitchell Moses0.72+200%
08-02PARBrian Kelly0.30-100%
08-02PARWill Penisini0.000%
08-02PARJosh Addo-Carr0.10-100%
08-02PARRonald Volkman0.60-100%
08-02PARIsaiah Iongi0.51+117%
08-02PARSam Tuivaiti0.000%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Lyhkan's. Computed from this app's own records.