10.7 baseline — 0.6 × season 10.9 (15 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 10.5
−0.6 opponent leak — they concede 176.5/game vs a 186.3 league average
+0.0 at this ground — averages 10.8 there (4 gm)
vs them: averages 9.9 over 9 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o10.5
Game conditionsSt George Venues Jubilee Stadium · SydneyRound 23 · 2026-08-09 16:05☁ 15.9°C☂ 0.4mm (79%)🌬 16.9 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Tyrellvs all playersStatCRO concedePer game
84.9
52
Run Metresunfavorable
0
1504.1
Tyrell 84.9/game
CRO concedes 1504.1/game · league avg 1690.9
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.8
61
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
6
28.6
Tyrell 1.8/game
CRO concedes 28.6/game · league avg 32.7
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
3.4
10
Tacklesneutral
69
352.1
Tyrell 3.4/game
CRO concedes 352.1/game · league avg 344.9
#6 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.5
91
Triesunfavorable
25
3.7
Tyrell 0.5/game
CRO concedes 3.7/game · league avg 4.1
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
48
Try Assistsunfavorable
31
3.3
Tyrell 0.1/game
CRO concedes 3.3/game · league avg 3.5
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.4
77
Line Breaksunfavorable
25
4.5
Tyrell 0.4/game
CRO concedes 4.5/game · league avg 5.1
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.4
54
Offloadsunfavorable
13
8.5
Tyrell 0.4/game
CRO concedes 8.5/game · league avg 9.8
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
19.7
37
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
0
466.4
Tyrell 19.7/game
CRO concedes 466.4/game · league avg 545.7
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Tyrell84.9
52
CRO1504.1
0
Tyrell 84.9/game
CRO concedes 1504.1/game · league avg 1690.9
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Tyrell1.8
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
CRO concede · Runs
176.5per game · league avg 186.3
#16 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Runs
At St George Venues Jubilee Stadium10.8(4)-1.3
Everywhere else12.1(91)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Runs
Wet games (≥1mm)10.9(11)-1.2
Dry games12.2(84)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs CRO · Runs
Avg diff
-2.1
Avg diff %
-19%
Hit rate
2/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-02SOUAshton Ward9.67-27%
08-02SOULachlan Hubner9.410+7%
08-02SOUJack Wighton12.17-42%
08-02SOUCody Walker9.69-6%
08-02SOULatrell Siegwalt9.614+46%
07-26MANNathan Brown11.69-23%
07-17NEWTyson Frizell9.49-4%
07-17NEWSandon Smith10.30-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.6 of Tyrell's. Computed from this app's own records.