13.3 baseline — 0.6 × season 13.1 (16 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 13.6
+1.5 opponent leak — they concede 605.3/game vs a 544.2 league average
+0.3 at this ground — averages 13.6 there (26 gm)
vs them: averages 37.0 over 3 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▼opponent ▲venue ▲projection ·
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o13.5
Game conditionsMcDonald Jones Stadium · NewcastleRound 24 · 2026-08-16 14:00☁ 16.5°C☂ 0.3mm (73%)🌬 16.6 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Thomasvs all playersStatGLD concedePer game
35.3
18
Run Metresneutral
94
1851.3
Thomas 35.3/game
GLD concedes 1851.3/game · league avg 1686.6
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.8
33
Tackle Breaksneutral
88
34.8
Thomas 0.8/game
GLD concedes 34.8/game · league avg 32.8
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
17.7
54
Tacklesneutral
38
340.0
Thomas 17.7/game
GLD concedes 340.0/game · league avg 344.9
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Triesneutral
75
4.8
Thomas 0.0/game
GLD concedes 4.8/game · league avg 4.2
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
46
Try Assistsneutral
75
4.0
Thomas 0.1/game
GLD concedes 4.0/game · league avg 3.5
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Line Breaksneutral
63
5.2
Thomas 0.0/game
GLD concedes 5.2/game · league avg 5.1
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Offloadsneutral
88
11.2
Thomas 0.0/game
GLD concedes 11.2/game · league avg 9.7
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
13.1
25
Post Contact Metresneutral
94
605.3
Thomas 13.1/game
GLD concedes 605.3/game · league avg 544.2
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresneutral
Thomas35.3
18
GLD1851.3
94
Thomas 35.3/game
GLD concedes 1851.3/game · league avg 1686.6
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksneutral
Thomas0.8
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
GLD concede · Post Contact Metres
605.3per game · league avg 544.2
#2 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Post Contact Metres
At McDonald Jones Stadium13.6(26)-4.0
Everywhere else17.6(26)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)4.3(9)-13.6
Dry games18.0(43)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs GLD · Post Contact Metres
Avg diff
+3.6
Avg diff %
+27%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-06NQLSam McIntyre14.80-100%
08-01WARRiley Price15.0150%
08-01WARWayde Egan12.627+115%
07-26SGIDamien Cook13.410-25%
07-26SGIDaniel Atkinson11.612+4%
07-19MANJoey Walsh12.512-4%
07-12MELSiulagi Tuimalatu-Brown14.635+139%
06-26CBYKurt Mann14.126+84%
Similar = season average within ±2.0 of Thomas's. Computed from this app's own records.