10.3 baseline — 0.6 × season 9.7 (18 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 11.2
+0.0 opponent leak — they concede 186/game vs a 185.9 league average
−1.0 at this ground — averages 9.3 there (29 gm)
vs them: averages 8.0 over 7 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
NQL concede · Runs
186.0per game · league avg 185.9
#8 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Runs
At CommBank Stadium9.3(29)+1.0
Everywhere else8.3(62)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Runs
Wet games (≥1mm)10.0(2)+1.4
Dry games8.6(89)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs NQL · Runs
Avg diff
-0.6
Avg diff %
-8%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-06GLDAJ Brimson9.313+40%
08-06GLDJayden Campbell9.49-5%
08-06GLDKurtis Morrin8.79+4%
08-06GLDMoeaki Fotuaika10.711+3%
07-30SYDSpencer Leniu8.98-10%
07-30SYDRobert Toia11.112+9%
07-30SYDHugo Savala9.49-4%
07-25BRIGrant Anderson8.50-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Kelma's. Computed from this app's own records.