12.8 baseline — 0.6 × season 12.6 (20 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 13.2
+0.0 opponent leak — they concede 186/game vs a 185.9 league average
+0.8 at this ground — averages 13.6 there (26 gm)
vs them: averages 11.3 over 8 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
NQL concede · Runs
186.0per game · league avg 185.9
#8 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Runs
At CommBank Stadium13.6(26)+2.9
Everywhere else10.6(94)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Runs
Wet games (≥1mm)11.0(4)-0.3
Dry games11.3(116)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs NQL · Runs
Avg diff
+1.8
Avg diff %
+15%
Hit rate
6/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-06GLDMoeaki Fotuaika10.711+3%
08-06GLDJojo Fifita11.416+40%
08-06GLDBeau Fermor14.415+4%
07-30SYDNat Butcher13.721+53%
07-30SYDSiua Wong12.912-7%
07-30SYDRobert Toia11.112+9%
07-30SYDSam Walker11.814+18%
07-30SYDVictor Radley11.511-4%
Similar = season average within ±1.9 of Jack's. Computed from this app's own records.