2.0 baseline — 0.6 × season 2.1 (15 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 1.9
+0.2 opponent leak — they concede 36.5/game vs a 32.8 league average
+0.1 at this ground — averages 2.1 there (9 gm)
vs them: averages 5.0 over 1 game — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▼opponent ▲venue ▲projection ·
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
NQL concede · Tackle Breaks
36.5per game · league avg 32.8
#2 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Tackle Breaks
At CommBank Stadium2.1(9)+0.6
Everywhere else1.5(13)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Tackle Breaks
Wet games (≥1mm)2.0(1)+0.3
Dry games1.7(21)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs NQL · Tackle Breaks
Avg diff
+1.5
Avg diff %
+71%
Hit rate
6/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-06GLDPhillip Sami3.55+45%
08-06GLDTino Fa'asuamaleaui1.85+174%
08-06GLDJojo Fifita2.56+140%
08-06GLDAJ Brimson1.93+54%
08-06GLDJayden Campbell2.51-60%
08-06GLDMoeaki Fotuaika1.21-17%
08-06GLDDean Ieremia1.42+43%
08-06GLDBeau Fermor2.16+186%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Ronald's. Computed from this app's own records.