1.4 baseline — 0.6 × season 1.5 (14 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 1.3
+0.1 opponent leak — they concede 34.4/game vs a 32.7 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (2 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 1.2 over 5 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SOU concede · Tackle Breaks
34.4per game · league avg 32.7
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Tackle Breaks
At Allianz Stadium2.5(2)+0.8
Everywhere else1.7(76)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Tackle Breaks
Wet games (≥1mm)0.5(2)-1.3
Dry games1.8(76)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs SOU · Tackle Breaks
Avg diff
+1.8
Avg diff %
+122%
Hit rate
7/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-02CRONicho Hynes1.52+33%
08-02CROTeig Wilton1.21-15%
08-02CRORonaldo Mulitalo2.68+208%
08-02CROBraydon Trindall0.82+137%
08-02CROBlayke Brailey1.13+181%
08-02CROBriton Nikora1.03+200%
08-02CROJesse Ramien2.35+117%
08-02CROCameron McInnes0.92+118%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Sean's. Computed from this app's own records.