28.0 baseline — 0.6 × season 26.0 (4 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 31.1
+2.4 opponent leak — they concede 590/game vs a 544.2 league average
+12.0 at this ground — averages 40 there (5 gm)
vs them: averages 46.3 over 3 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
PAR concede · Post Contact Metres
590.0per game · league avg 544.2
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Post Contact Metres
At CommBank Stadium40.0(5)+9.2
Everywhere else30.8(50)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)27.6(5)-4.5
Dry games32.1(50)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs PAR · Post Contact Metres
Avg diff
-0.9
Avg diff %
-5%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08SOUJye Gray27.659+114%
08-08SOULachlan Hubner26.019-27%
08-08SOUSean Keppie24.343+77%
08-08SOUAlex Johnston26.225-5%
08-02WSTHeath Mason23.80-100%
08-02WSTPatrick Herbert27.626-6%
08-02WSTTony Sukkar23.626+10%
08-02WSTStarford To'a26.30-100%
Similar = season average within ±3.9 of John's. Computed from this app's own records.