72.0 baseline — 0.6 × season 66.8 (4 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 80.0
+5.3 opponent leak — they concede 1810.8/game vs a 1686.6 league average
+24.5 at this ground — averages 96.6 there (5 gm)
vs them: averages 116.7 over 3 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
PAR concede · Run Metres
1810.8per game · league avg 1686.6
#4 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Run Metres
At CommBank Stadium96.6(5)+1.9
Everywhere else94.7(50)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Run Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)77.0(5)-19.7
Dry games96.7(50)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs PAR · Run Metres
Avg diff
0.0
Avg diff %
0%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08SOUCody Walker66.494+42%
08-08SOUSean Keppie71.097+37%
08-08SOUAshton Ward59.616-73%
08-08SOULachlan Hubner76.159-22%
08-02WSTTony Sukkar59.466+11%
08-02WSTJarome Luai76.169-9%
07-23PENBilly Phillips57.748-17%
07-11SYDConnor Watson64.782+27%
Similar = season average within ±10.0 of John's. Computed from this app's own records.