45.2 baseline — 0.6 × season 47.0 (17 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 42.6
−3.0 opponent leak — they concede 1576.6/game vs a 1686.6 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (3 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 61.4 over 7 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▼opponent ▼projection ·
Most signals here point under while you're on the over — worth reading the working above before you commit.
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
PEN concede · Run Metres
1576.6per game · league avg 1686.6
#13 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Run Metres
At CommBank Stadium48.3(3)-17.5
Everywhere else65.8(89)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Run Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)74.4(8)+10.0
Dry games64.3(84)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs PEN · Run Metres
Avg diff
-7.5
Avg diff %
-19%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-07WARWayde Egan49.752+5%
08-07WARChanel Harris-Tavita41.919-55%
08-01CBRDaine Laurie53.460+12%
08-01CBREthan Sanders45.955+20%
08-01CBRTom Starling45.526-43%
07-23PARJack De Belin46.132-31%
07-16BRIVa'a Semu41.40-100%
07-16BRIAdam Reynolds47.968+42%
Similar = season average within ±7.0 of Egan's. Computed from this app's own records.
Liam Henry119.5