17.6 baseline — 0.6 × season 19.5 (20 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 14.8
−1.1 opponent leak — they concede 322.9/game vs a 344.7 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (3 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 19.7 over 3 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
PAR concede · Tackles
322.9per game · league avg 344.7
#16 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Tackles
At CommBank Stadium21.7(3)+0.4
Everywhere else21.3(95)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Tackles
Wet games (≥1mm)24.8(5)+3.7
Dry games21.1(93)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs PAR · Tackles
Avg diff
+2.0
Avg diff %
+10%
Hit rate
5/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08SOUAdam Elliott19.025+32%
08-08SOUCody Walker17.825+40%
08-02WSTAlex Seyfarth21.916-27%
07-23PENNathan Cleary20.123+14%
07-23PENBilly Phillips17.914-22%
07-23PENBlaize Talagi21.233+56%
07-11SYDDaly Cherry-Evans21.629+34%
07-11SYDRobert Toia19.710-49%
Similar = season average within ±2.9 of Sam's. Computed from this app's own records.