110.1 baseline — 0.6 × season 109.3 (11 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 111.3
+8.0 opponent leak — they concede 1810.8/game vs a 1687.8 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (3 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 81.4 over 8 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
PAR concede · Run Metres
1810.8per game · league avg 1687.8
#4 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Run Metres
At CommBank Stadium85.7(3)-11.0
Everywhere else96.7(117)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Run Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)74.0(7)-23.8
Dry games97.8(113)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs PAR · Run Metres
Avg diff
+8.3
Avg diff %
+6%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08SOUJye Gray123.5238+93%
08-08SOUJack Wighton104.896-8%
08-08SOUTevita Tatola113.290-20%
08-08SOUCameron Murray102.380-22%
08-02WSTHeamasi Makasini122.965-47%
08-02WSTAlex Twal125.1141+13%
08-02WSTFonua Pole113.7171+50%
07-23PENJaxen Edgar107.398-9%
Similar = season average within ±16.4 of Tom's. Computed from this app's own records.