7.1 baseline — 0.6 × season 7.1 (11 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 7.0
−0.4 opponent leak — they concede 175.7/game vs a 185.9 league average
−0.6 at this ground — averages 6.5 there (22 gm)
vs them: averages 6.0 over 5 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ·opponent ▼venue ▼projection ▼
Most signals here point under while you're on the over — worth reading the working above before you commit.
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 23: 0 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
WAR concede · Runs
175.7per game · league avg 185.9
#17 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Runs
At Suncorp Stadium6.5(22)+0.6
Everywhere else5.9(36)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Runs
Wet games (≥1mm)7.0(5)+1.0
Dry games6.0(53)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs WAR · Runs
Avg diff
-0.7
Avg diff %
-10%
Hit rate
2/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-07PENLuron Patea6.86-11%
08-07PENScott Sorensen8.610+17%
08-07PENBilly Phillips6.73-55%
08-01GLDKlese Haas7.65-34%
08-01GLDZane Harrison7.513+73%
08-01GLDChris Randall7.15-29%
08-01GLDArama Hau6.74-40%
08-01GLDCooper Bai7.47-5%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Jack's. Computed from this app's own records.