0.5 baseline — 0.6 × season 0.4 (19 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 0.6
+0.0 opponent leak — they concede 34.4/game vs a 32.7 league average
+0.5 at this ground — averages 1 there (4 gm)
vs them: averages 2.0 over 6 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 17: 3 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SOU concede · Tackle Breaks
34.4per game · league avg 32.7
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Tackle Breaks
At Allianz Stadium1.0(4)-0.5
Everywhere else1.5(124)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Tackle Breaks
Wet games (≥1mm)1.7(9)+0.2
Dry games1.5(119)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs SOU · Tackle Breaks
Avg diff
+1.3
Avg diff %
+126%
Hit rate
7/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-02CROBriton Nikora1.03+200%
08-02CROOregon Kaufusi1.15+347%
08-02CRONicho Hynes1.52+33%
08-02CROBlayke Brailey1.13+181%
08-02CROTeig Wilton1.21-15%
08-02CROCameron McInnes0.92+118%
08-02CROBraydon Trindall0.82+137%
08-02CROJesse Colquhoun0.91+6%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Dylan's. Computed from this app's own records.