0.4 baseline — 0.6 × season 0.4 (17 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 0.4
+0.0 opponent leak — they concede 5.1/game vs a 5.1 league average
+0.6 at this ground — averages 1 there (4 gm)
vs them: averages 0.0 over 2 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 19: 2 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
BRI concede · Line Breaks
5.1per game · league avg 5.1
#8 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Line Breaks
At Suncorp Stadium1.0(4)+0.4
Everywhere else0.6(29)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Line Breaks
Wet games (≥1mm)—(0)
Dry games0.6(33)
Only 0 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs BRI · Line Breaks
Avg diff
-0.1
Avg diff %
-54%
Hit rate
1/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08DOLHerbie Farnworth0.61+73%
08-08DOLIsaiya Katoa0.10-100%
08-08DOLJamayne Isaako1.01+5%
08-08DOLJack Bostock0.30-100%
08-08DOLSelwyn Cobbo1.11-12%
08-08DOLKodi Nikorima0.20-100%
08-08DOLHamiso Tabuai-Fidow0.50-100%
08-08DOLThomas Flegler0.10-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Ali's. Computed from this app's own records.