14.3 baseline — 0.6 × season 14.0 (5 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 14.8
+1.5 opponent leak — they concede 601.3/game vs a 544.6 league average
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o14.5
Game conditionsSt George Venues Jubilee Stadium · SydneyRound 23 · 2026-08-09 16:05☁ 15.3°C☂ 0.4mm (62%)🌬 17.3 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Tukuvs all playersStatSGI concedePer game
29.2
14
Run Metresneutral
100
1925.5
Tuku 29.2/game
SGI concedes 1925.5/game · league avg 1687.8
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
9
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
19
30.7
Tuku 0.2/game
SGI concedes 30.7/game · league avg 32.7
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
4.2
13
Tacklesneutral
50
345.9
Tuku 4.2/game
SGI concedes 345.9/game · league avg 344.7
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Triesneutral
100
5.2
Tuku 0.0/game
SGI concedes 5.2/game · league avg 4.2
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Try Assistsneutral
69
3.9
Tuku 0.0/game
SGI concedes 3.9/game · league avg 3.5
#6 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Line Breaksneutral
81
6.1
Tuku 0.0/game
SGI concedes 6.1/game · league avg 5.1
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
34
Offloadsunfavorable
19
8.6
Tuku 0.2/game
SGI concedes 8.6/game · league avg 9.7
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
14.0
26
Post Contact Metresneutral
88
601.3
Tuku 14.0/game
SGI concedes 601.3/game · league avg 544.6
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresneutral
Tuku29.2
14
SGI1925.5
100
Tuku 29.2/game
SGI concedes 1925.5/game · league avg 1687.8
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Tuku0.2
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SGI concede · Post Contact Metres
601.3per game · league avg 544.6
#3 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Post Contact Metres
At St George Venues Jubilee Stadium—(0)
Everywhere else18.3(27)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)3.0(1)-15.9
Dry games18.9(26)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs SGI · Post Contact Metres
Avg diff
+1.1
Avg diff %
+7%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
07-31DOLJeremy Marshall-King14.220+41%
07-31DOLIsaiya Katoa12.28-34%
07-26GLDOliver Pascoe12.011-8%
07-18WARWayde Egan12.610-20%
07-18WARTe Maire Martin15.911-31%
06-28CBRTom Starling12.91-92%
06-28CBREthan Strange14.618+23%
06-19NEWThomas Cant13.738+178%
Similar = season average within ±2.1 of Tuku's. Computed from this app's own records.