44.2 baseline — 0.6 × season 46.1 (18 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 41.3
+2.6 opponent leak — they concede 1785.8/game vs a 1686.6 league average
+18.8 at this ground — averages 63 there (13 gm)
vs them: averages 87.7 over 7 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▼opponent ▲venue ▲projection ▲
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
NQL concede · Run Metres
1785.8per game · league avg 1686.6
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Run Metres
At CommBank Stadium63.0(13)-44.3
Everywhere else107.3(103)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Run Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)124.6(13)+25.1
Dry games99.6(103)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs NQL · Run Metres
Avg diff
+49.6
Avg diff %
+104%
Hit rate
6/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-06GLDOliver Pascoe41.131-25%
07-30SYDTommy Talau45.8234+411%
07-30SYDSalesi Foketi52.5153+191%
07-30SYDDaly Cherry-Evans52.150-4%
07-30SYDEgan Butcher47.0122+160%
07-25BRIVa'a Semu41.448+16%
07-25BRIAdam Reynolds47.964+34%
07-19DOLFelise Kaufusi48.871+46%
Similar = season average within ±6.9 of Jack's. Computed from this app's own records.