133.4 baseline — 0.6 × season 129.3 (20 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 139.6
+3.5 opponent leak — they concede 1731.5/game vs a 1686.6 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (3 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 182.7 over 10 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
WST concede · Run Metres
1731.5per game · league avg 1686.6
#6 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Run Metres
At CommBank Stadium148.3(3)-6.0
Everywhere else154.3(117)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Run Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)131.8(4)-23.2
Dry games154.9(116)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs WST · Run Metres
Avg diff
-16.3
Avg diff %
-13%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-02PARWill Penisini145.197-33%
08-02PARJordan Samrani141.8139-2%
08-02PARJosh Addo-Carr128.6166+29%
08-02PARJack Williams114.895-17%
07-25CBRXavier Savage131.8176+34%
07-25CBRMatthew Timoko147.696-35%
07-25CBRSebastian Kris112.80-100%
07-25CBRCorey Horsburgh115.7139+20%
Similar = season average within ±19.4 of Valentine's. Computed from this app's own records.