0.8 baseline — 0.6 × season 0.7 (17 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 1.0
+0.3 opponent leak — they concede 5.2/game vs a 3.9 league average
−0.1 at this ground — averages 0.7 there (41 gm)
vs them: averages 0.4 over 9 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 22: 3 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
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Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
WST concede · Line Break Assists
5.2per game · league avg 3.9
#1 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Line Break Assists
At CommBank Stadium0.7(41)
Everywhere else0.7(97)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Line Break Assists
Wet games (≥1mm)0.2(6)-0.6
Dry games0.8(132)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs WST · Line Break Assists
Avg diff
-0.0
Avg diff %
-29%
Hit rate
2/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-02PARJordan Samrani0.000%
08-02PARMitchell Moses0.91+7%
08-02PARBrian Kelly0.30-100%
08-02PARWill Penisini0.10-100%
08-02PARJosh Addo-Carr0.000%
08-02PARRonald Volkman0.30-100%
08-02PARIsaiah Iongi0.61+63%
08-02PARSam Tuivaiti0.000%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Clinton's. Computed from this app's own records.