9.2 baseline — 0.6 × season 8.7 (15 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 10.0
+0.0 opponent leak — they concede 186.4/game vs a 185.9 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (1 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 4.0 over 3 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
← the price your bookie is offering
Splits · 8.5
Game conditions4 Pines Park · SydneyRound 24 · 2026-08-14 18:00☁ 13.5°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 7.6 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Maxvs all playersStatMAN concedePer game
83.7
51
Run Metresunfavorable
31
1613.3
Max 83.7/game
MAN concedes 1613.3/game · league avg 1686.6
#12 of 17 clubs most conceded
2.1
70
Tackle Breaksneutral
38
31.9
Max 2.1/game
MAN concedes 31.9/game · league avg 32.8
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
35.5
92
Tacklesneutral
56
347.8
Max 35.5/game
MAN concedes 347.8/game · league avg 344.9
#8 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
48
Triesunfavorable
25
3.8
Max 0.1/game
MAN concedes 3.8/game · league avg 4.2
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
49
Try Assistsunfavorable
25
3.1
Max 0.1/game
MAN concedes 3.1/game · league avg 3.5
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
70
Line Breaksunfavorable
19
4.5
Max 0.3/game
MAN concedes 4.5/game · league avg 5.1
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Offloadsneutral
100
11.6
Max 0.0/game
MAN concedes 11.6/game · league avg 9.7
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
28.8
54
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
31
514.9
Max 28.8/game
MAN concedes 514.9/game · league avg 544.2
#12 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Max83.7
51
MAN1613.3
31
Max 83.7/game
MAN concedes 1613.3/game · league avg 1686.6
#12 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksneutral
Max2.1
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
MAN concede · Runs
186.4per game · league avg 185.9
#7 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Runs
At 4 Pines Park0.0(1)-8.4
Everywhere else8.4(49)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Runs
Wet games (≥1mm)12.6(5)+4.8
Dry games7.8(45)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs MAN · Runs
Avg diff
+0.7
Avg diff %
+6%
Hit rate
5/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08MELCooper Clarke10.214+37%
08-08MELJoe Chan8.912+34%
08-08MELOryn Keeley8.512+41%
07-26CROSiosifa Talakai7.912+52%
07-26CROMawene Hiroti7.80-100%
07-26CROBilly Burns8.88-9%
07-26CROBriton Nikora9.410+6%
07-19GLDAJ Brimson9.38-14%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Max's. Computed from this app's own records.
Nathan Brown11.5