1.1 baseline — 0.6 × season 0.8 (19 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 1.6
−0.1 opponent leak — they concede 20.8/game vs a 23.7 league average
vs them: averages 2.0 over 4 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 21: 12 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
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Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
CRO concede · Points
20.8per game · league avg 23.7
#14 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Points
At Ocean Protect Stadium—(0)
Everywhere else0.7(104)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Points
Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(6)-0.8
Dry games0.8(98)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs CRO · Points
Avg diff
-0.1
Avg diff %
-53%
Hit rate
1/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-09SGILyhkan King-Togia0.000%
08-09SGIEmre Guler0.20-100%
08-09SGIMoses Suli0.70-100%
08-09SGITyrell Sloan2.34+78%
08-09SGIKyle Flanagan0.30-100%
08-09SGILoko Jnr Pasifiki Tonga0.000%
08-09SGIClinton Gutherson0.70-100%
08-09SGIDylan Egan0.30-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Daine's. Computed from this app's own records.