0.2 baseline — 0.6 × season 0.1 (17 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 0.2
−0.0 opponent leak — they concede 3.7/game vs a 3.9 league average
+0.1 at this ground — averages 0.3 there (4 gm)
vs them: averages 0.3 over 3 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▼opponent ▼venue ▲projection ·
Most signals here point under while you're on the over — worth reading the working above before you commit.
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 22: 1 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away. Round 23: 1 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
BRI concede · Line Break Assists
3.7per game · league avg 3.9
#8 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Line Break Assists
At Suncorp Stadium0.3(4)+0.2
Everywhere else0.0(42)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Line Break Assists
Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(2)-0.1
Dry games0.1(44)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs BRI · Line Break Assists
Avg diff
-0.1
Avg diff %
-45%
Hit rate
2/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08DOLHerbie Farnworth0.60-100%
08-08DOLIsaiya Katoa0.81+23%
08-08DOLJamayne Isaako0.10-100%
08-08DOLJack Bostock0.81+25%
08-08DOLSelwyn Cobbo0.10-100%
08-08DOLKodi Nikorima1.11-6%
08-08DOLHamiso Tabuai-Fidow0.70-100%
08-08DOLThomas Flegler0.000%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Leka's. Computed from this app's own records.