10.6 baseline — 0.6 × season 9.9 (19 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 11.7
+1.0 opponent leak — they concede 594.5/game vs a 544.2 league average
+4.0 at this ground — averages 14.6 there (8 gm)
vs them: averages 15.3 over 6 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
BRI concede · Post Contact Metres
594.5per game · league avg 544.2
#4 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Post Contact Metres
At Suncorp Stadium14.6(8)+0.7
Everywhere else13.9(81)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)14.5(4)+0.6
Dry games13.9(85)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs BRI · Post Contact Metres
Avg diff
+1.6
Avg diff %
+15%
Hit rate
5/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-01NEWSandon Smith9.420+114%
07-16PENFreddy Lussick10.510-5%
06-26SYDSam Walker11.413+14%
06-26SYDDaly Cherry-Evans9.512+27%
06-11SOULiam Le Blanc10.525+139%
06-11SOUCody Walker11.215+34%
06-06GLDJaylan De Groot9.40-100%
05-17WARTanah Boyd10.80-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Chanel's. Computed from this app's own records.