2.6 baseline — 0.6 × season 2.8 (13 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 2.4
+0.4 opponent leak — they concede 27.1/game vs a 23.7 league average
−1.8 at this ground — averages 0.8 there (10 gm)
vs them: averages 1.0 over 4 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 16: 16 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
BRI concede · Points
27.1per game · league avg 23.7
#4 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Points
At Suncorp Stadium0.8(10)-0.5
Everywhere else1.3(86)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Points
Wet games (≥1mm)0.7(6)-0.6
Dry games1.2(90)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs BRI · Points
Avg diff
+1.9
Avg diff %
+65%
Hit rate
6/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08DOLHamiso Tabuai-Fidow2.98+173%
08-08DOLJack Bostock1.60-100%
08-08DOLSelwyn Cobbo3.54+15%
08-08DOLHerbie Farnworth1.94+111%
08-01NEWGreg Marzhew4.08+100%
08-01NEWDominic Young3.44+18%
08-01NEWBradman Best1.30-100%
08-01NEWFletcher Sharpe2.08+300%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Charnze's. Computed from this app's own records.