50.1 baseline — 0.6 × season 51.8 (16 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 47.5
−0.7 opponent leak — they concede 1663.5/game vs a 1687.8 league average
+25.2 at this ground — averages 75.3 there (23 gm)
vs them: averages 83.0 over 6 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SOU concede · Run Metres
1663.5per game · league avg 1687.8
#10 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Run Metres
At Accor Stadium75.3(23)+3.0
Everywhere else72.3(84)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Run Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)70.5(10)-2.7
Dry games73.2(97)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs SOU · Run Metres
Avg diff
+4.9
Avg diff %
+8%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08PARMitchell Moses55.360+9%
08-08PARJack De Belin46.138-17%
08-08PARTeancum Brown56.6125+121%
08-02CROBlayke Brailey53.745-16%
08-02CROOregon Kaufusi51.467+30%
07-24MELHarry Grant55.38-86%
07-24MELSiulagi Tuimalatu-Brown49.4109+121%
07-24MELManaia Waitere45.20-100%
Similar = season average within ±7.8 of Kurt's. Computed from this app's own records.