33.2 baseline — 0.6 × season 32.4 (20 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 34.3
+0.7 opponent leak — they concede 351.8/game vs a 344.9 league average
−3.4 at this ground — averages 29.8 there (32 gm)
vs them: averages 18.6 over 8 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▼opponent ▲venue ▼projection ▼
Most signals here point under while you're on the over — worth reading the working above before you commit.
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SOU concede · Tackles
351.8per game · league avg 344.9
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Tackles
At Accor Stadium29.8(32)+11.9
Everywhere else17.9(80)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Tackles
Wet games (≥1mm)19.5(11)-1.9
Dry games21.5(101)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs SOU · Tackles
Avg diff
-1.8
Avg diff %
-6%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08PARRyley Smith28.027-4%
08-08PARKitione Kautoga30.334+12%
08-02CROJesse Colquhoun30.232+6%
08-02CROBilly Burns28.718-37%
08-02CROBriton Nikora28.921-27%
08-02CROTeig Wilton33.122-34%
08-02CROCameron McInnes34.639+13%
07-24MELJosh King31.838+19%
Similar = season average within ±4.9 of Jaeman's. Computed from this app's own records.