13.1 baseline — 0.6 × season 12.2 (18 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 14.3
−1.9 opponent leak — they concede 466.4/game vs a 544.6 league average
+0.7 at this ground — averages 13.8 there (4 gm)
vs them: averages 10.0 over 2 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o12.5
Game conditionsSt George Venues Jubilee Stadium · SydneyRound 23 · 2026-08-09 16:05☁ 15.9°C☂ 0.4mm (83%)🌬 16.9 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Danielvs all playersStatCRO concedePer game
50.7
29
Run Metresunfavorable
0
1504.1
Daniel 50.7/game
CRO concedes 1504.1/game · league avg 1687.8
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.1
43
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
6
28.6
Daniel 1.1/game
CRO concedes 28.6/game · league avg 32.7
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
20.0
61
Tacklesneutral
81
352.1
Daniel 20.0/game
CRO concedes 352.1/game · league avg 344.7
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
29
Triesunfavorable
19
3.7
Daniel 0.1/game
CRO concedes 3.7/game · league avg 4.2
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.4
86
Try Assistsunfavorable
31
3.3
Daniel 0.4/game
CRO concedes 3.3/game · league avg 3.5
#12 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
43
Line Breaksunfavorable
31
4.5
Daniel 0.1/game
CRO concedes 4.5/game · league avg 5.1
#12 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.5
61
Offloadsunfavorable
13
8.5
Daniel 0.5/game
CRO concedes 8.5/game · league avg 9.7
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
12.2
23
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
0
466.4
Daniel 12.2/game
CRO concedes 466.4/game · league avg 544.6
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Daniel50.7
29
CRO1504.1
0
Daniel 50.7/game
CRO concedes 1504.1/game · league avg 1687.8
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Daniel1.1
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
CRO concede · Post Contact Metres
466.4per game · league avg 544.6
#17 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Post Contact Metres
At St George Venues Jubilee Stadium13.8(4)+3.5
Everywhere else10.3(67)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)15.3(4)+5.1
Dry games10.2(67)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs CRO · Post Contact Metres
Avg diff
+4.2
Avg diff %
+36%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-02SOUJohn Radel12.133+172%
08-02SOUAdam Elliott12.812-6%
08-02SOULiam Le Blanc10.54-62%
08-02SOUCody Walker11.218+61%
07-26MANJoey Walsh12.523+84%
07-26MANBlake Wilson10.90-100%
07-17NEWThomas Cant13.74-71%
07-04BRIHayze Perham11.435+208%
Similar = season average within ±1.8 of Daniel's. Computed from this app's own records.