1.3 baseline — 0.6 × season 1.3 (16 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 1.4
+0.1 opponent leak — they concede 3.9/game vs a 3.5 league average
vs them: averages 1.5 over 8 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
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Splits · o1.5
Game conditionsSt George Venues Jubilee Stadium · SydneyRound 23 · 2026-08-09 16:05☁ 15.9°C☂ 0.4mm (83%)🌬 16.9 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Nichovs all playersStatSGI concedePer game
98.1
61
Run Metresneutral
100
1925.5
Nicho 98.1/game
SGI concedes 1925.5/game · league avg 1687.8
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.5
52
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
19
30.7
Nicho 1.5/game
SGI concedes 30.7/game · league avg 32.7
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
22.7
69
Tacklesneutral
50
345.9
Nicho 22.7/game
SGI concedes 345.9/game · league avg 344.7
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.4
86
Triesfavorable
100
5.2
Nicho 0.4/game
SGI concedes 5.2/game · league avg 4.2
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.3
99
Try Assistsfavorable
69
3.9
Nicho 1.3/game
SGI concedes 3.9/game · league avg 3.5
#6 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.7
91
Line Breaksfavorable
81
6.1
Nicho 0.7/game
SGI concedes 6.1/game · league avg 5.1
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.6
96
Offloadsunfavorable
19
8.6
Nicho 1.6/game
SGI concedes 8.6/game · league avg 9.7
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
18.4
35
Post Contact Metresneutral
88
601.3
Nicho 18.4/game
SGI concedes 601.3/game · league avg 544.6
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresneutral
Nicho98.1
61
SGI1925.5
100
Nicho 98.1/game
SGI concedes 1925.5/game · league avg 1687.8
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Nicho1.5
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SGI concede · Try Assists
3.9per game · league avg 3.5
#6 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Try Assists
At St George Venues Jubilee Stadium—(0)
Everywhere else0.9(131)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Try Assists
Wet games (≥1mm)1.4(8)+0.5
Dry games0.9(123)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs SGI · Try Assists
Avg diff
+0.3
Avg diff %
+173%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
07-31DOLHerbie Farnworth0.32+533%
07-31DOLThomas Flegler0.000%
07-31DOLJamayne Isaako0.10-100%
07-31DOLJack Bostock0.91+11%
07-31DOLSelwyn Cobbo0.20-100%
07-31DOLKodi Nikorima0.71+42%
07-31DOLHamiso Tabuai-Fidow0.50-100%
07-31DOLJeremy Marshall-King0.11+1100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Nicho's. Computed from this app's own records.