16.7 baseline — 0.6 × season 17.2 (18 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 16.0
+0.1 opponent leak — they concede 345.9/game vs a 344.7 league average
vs them: averages 14.0 over 3 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
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Splits · o17.5
Game conditionsSt George Venues Jubilee Stadium · SydneyRound 23 · 2026-08-09 16:05☁ 15.9°C☂ 0.4mm (83%)🌬 16.9 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
KLvs all playersStatSGI concedePer game
143.3
86
Run Metresfavorable
100
1925.5
KL 143.3/game
SGI concedes 1925.5/game · league avg 1687.8
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
3.2
87
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
19
30.7
KL 3.2/game
SGI concedes 30.7/game · league avg 32.7
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
17.2
53
Tacklesneutral
50
345.9
KL 17.2/game
SGI concedes 345.9/game · league avg 344.7
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.7
94
Triesfavorable
100
5.2
KL 0.7/game
SGI concedes 5.2/game · league avg 4.2
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
58
Try Assistsneutral
69
3.9
KL 0.1/game
SGI concedes 3.9/game · league avg 3.5
#6 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.5
82
Line Breaksfavorable
81
6.1
KL 0.5/game
SGI concedes 6.1/game · league avg 5.1
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.6
65
Offloadsunfavorable
19
8.6
KL 0.6/game
SGI concedes 8.6/game · league avg 9.7
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
52.2
90
Post Contact Metresfavorable
88
601.3
KL 52.2/game
SGI concedes 601.3/game · league avg 544.6
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresfavorable
KL143.3
86
SGI1925.5
100
KL 143.3/game
SGI concedes 1925.5/game · league avg 1687.8
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
KL3.2
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SGI concede · Tackles
345.9per game · league avg 344.7
#9 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Tackles
At St George Venues Jubilee Stadium—(0)
Everywhere else14.5(63)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Tackles
Wet games (≥1mm)17.0(1)+2.5
Dry games14.5(62)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs SGI · Tackles
Avg diff
-1.4
Avg diff %
-10%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
07-31DOLHerbie Farnworth14.916+7%
07-31DOLJack Bostock15.615-4%
07-31DOLThomas Flegler19.127+41%
07-31DOLBradley Schneider15.30-100%
07-26GLDZane Harrison17.219+10%
07-26GLDJayden Campbell17.911-39%
07-26GLDCooper Bai18.516-14%
07-26GLDJosh Patston18.522+19%
Similar = season average within ±2.6 of KL's. Computed from this app's own records.