10.0 baseline — 0.6 × season 10.1 (12 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 9.8
−0.5 opponent leak — they concede 175.7/game vs a 185.9 league average
−1.4 at this ground — averages 8.6 there (34 gm)
vs them: averages 7.3 over 4 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▼opponent ▼venue ▼projection ▼
Most signals here point under while you're on the over — worth reading the working above before you commit.
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
WAR concede · Runs
175.7per game · league avg 185.9
#17 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Runs
At Suncorp Stadium8.6(34)+1.3
Everywhere else7.2(33)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Runs
Wet games (≥1mm)6.0(4)-2.0
Dry games8.0(63)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs WAR · Runs
Avg diff
-3.5
Avg diff %
-36%
Hit rate
0/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-07PENMoses Leota11.19-19%
08-07PENLiam Martin10.58-24%
08-07PENBlaize Talagi9.10-100%
08-01GLDMoeaki Fotuaika10.79-16%
08-01GLDAJ Brimson9.39-3%
08-01GLDJojo Fifita11.47-39%
08-01GLDJayden Campbell9.46-36%
08-01GLDKurtis Morrin8.74-54%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Brendan's. Computed from this app's own records.