0.4 baseline — 0.6 × season 0.5 (16 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 0.2
+0.0 opponent leak — they concede 34.4/game vs a 32.8 league average
+0.7 at this ground — averages 1.1 there (26 gm)
vs them: averages 1.4 over 8 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
WAR concede · Tackle Breaks
34.4per game · league avg 32.8
#4 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Tackle Breaks
At Suncorp Stadium1.1(26)-0.9
Everywhere else2.0(93)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Tackle Breaks
Wet games (≥1mm)2.5(13)+0.8
Dry games1.7(106)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs WAR · Tackle Breaks
Avg diff
+0.4
Avg diff %
+24%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-07PENLindsay Smith1.010%
08-07PENJack Cole0.10-100%
08-07PENMoses Leota0.81+25%
08-07PENFreddy Lussick0.60-100%
08-07PENLiam Martin1.92+4%
08-07PENIsaah Yeo1.91-48%
08-07PENIzack Tago1.35+285%
08-07PENScott Sorensen0.51+122%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Ben's. Computed from this app's own records.