12.9 baseline — 0.6 × season 12.8 (17 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 13.1
−0.7 opponent leak — they concede 175.7/game vs a 185.9 league average
−1.6 at this ground — averages 11.3 there (64 gm)
vs them: averages 10.3 over 6 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▲opponent ▼venue ▼projection ▼
Most signals here point under while you're on the over — worth reading the working above before you commit.
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
WAR concede · Runs
175.7per game · league avg 185.9
#17 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Runs
At Suncorp Stadium11.3(64)-0.6
Everywhere else11.9(51)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Runs
Wet games (≥1mm)11.1(9)-0.5
Dry games11.6(106)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs WAR · Runs
Avg diff
-3.3
Avg diff %
-26%
Hit rate
1/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-07PENLindsay Smith11.713+12%
08-07PENLiam Henry12.79-29%
08-07PENPaul Alamoti14.012-14%
08-07PENMoses Leota11.19-19%
08-07PENNathan Cleary13.28-40%
08-07PENIsaah Yeo13.36-55%
08-07PENJaxen Edgar12.39-27%
08-01GLDJojo Fifita11.47-39%
Similar = season average within ±1.9 of Kotoni's. Computed from this app's own records.