177.3 baseline — 0.6 × season 173.8 (14 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 182.5
−18.4 opponent leak — they concede 1511.1/game vs a 1686.6 league average
vs them: averages 47.0 over 8 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▲opponent ▼projection ▼
Most signals here point under while you're on the over — worth reading the working above before you commit.
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 10: 38 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
CRO concede · Run Metres
1511.1per game · league avg 1686.6
#17 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Run Metres
At Ocean Protect Stadium—(0)
Everywhere else68.8(83)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Run Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)89.9(15)+25.7
Dry games64.2(68)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs CRO · Run Metres
Avg diff
+16.8
Avg diff %
+10%
Hit rate
6/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-09SGIClinton Gutherson154.2204+32%
08-09SGISetu Tu154.8170+10%
08-02SOUMatthew Dufty190.5265+39%
08-02SOUCampbell Graham152.4170+12%
08-02SOUKeaon Koloamatangi170.4149-13%
07-26MANLehi Hopoate166.1227+37%
07-26MANHaumole Olakau'atu174.5186+7%
07-26MANTolutau Koula173.5100-42%
Similar = season average within ±26.1 of Simi's. Computed from this app's own records.