Hayden Watson — NRL props & hit rates

Hayden Watson

Melbourne Storm · vs PEN

0.5 TAO —U —

Hit rate

33% (1/3)

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Avg

0.3

L10

0.3

High

Only 3 games in this filter — thin evidence, treat with care.

Line Over Under

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Splits · o0.5

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Haydenvs all playersStatPEN concedePer game

56.3Run Metresunfavorable1576.6

2.7Tackle Breaksunfavorable31.4

18.0Tacklesneutral368.1

0.3Triesunfavorable2.6

0.3Try Assistsunfavorable2.4

0.3Line Breaksunfavorable4.1

0.7Offloadsunfavorable8.1

18.3Post Contact Metresneutral548.9

Run Metresunfavorable

Hayden56.3

PEN1576.6

Tackle Breaksunfavorable

Hayden2.7

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

PEN concede · Try Assists

2.4per game · league avg 3.5

#17 of 17 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Try Assists

At AAMI Park0.0(2)-1.0

Everywhere else1.0(1)

Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Try Assists

Wet games (≥1mm)0.5(2)+0.5

Dry games0.0(1)

Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.

Similar players vs PEN · Try Assists

Avg diff

+0.0

Avg diff %

+244%

Hit rate

2/8

beat their own average

DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff

08-07WARLeka Halasima0.11+750%

08-07WARJames Fisher-Harris0.10-100%

08-07WARDallin Watene-Zelezniak0.11+1800%

08-07WARAli Leiataua0.30-100%

08-07WARAlofiana Khan-Pereira0.10-100%

08-07WARChanel Harris-Tavita0.60-100%

08-07WARCharnze Nicoll-Klokstad0.20-100%

08-07WARWayde Egan0.40-100%

Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Hayden's. Computed from this app's own records.

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

PEN concede · Try Assists

Venue split · Try Assists

Wet vs dry · Try Assists

Similar players vs PEN · Try Assists