41.7 baseline — 0.6 × season 41.7 (7 gm) + 0.4 × last 7 41.7
+3.1 opponent leak — they concede 1816.7/game vs a 1690.9 league average
vs them: averages 0.0 over 1 game — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
PAR concede · Run Metres
1816.7per game · league avg 1690.9
#4 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Run Metres
At Allianz Stadium—(0)
Everywhere else41.7(7)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Run Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(1)-48.7
Dry games48.7(6)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs PAR · Run Metres
Avg diff
+13.8
Avg diff %
+29%
Hit rate
5/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
07-11SYDTommy Talau45.80-100%
07-11SYDEgan Butcher47.092+96%
07-05MANSimione Laiafi41.861+46%
07-05MANJosh Feledy47.823-52%
07-05MANJoey Walsh47.5109+129%
06-25SOUDayne Jennings36.821-43%
06-25SOUJamie Humphreys42.476+79%
06-13CBREthan Sanders47.084+79%
Similar = season average within ±6.3 of John's. Computed from this app's own records.