10.0 baseline — 0.6 × season 10.0 (6 gm) + 0.4 × last 6 10.0
+0.0 opponent leak — they concede 186/game vs a 185.9 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (2 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 6.0 over 1 game — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
NQL concede · Runs
186.0per game · league avg 185.9
#8 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Runs
At CommBank Stadium9.0(2)-1.5
Everywhere else10.5(4)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Runs
Wet games (≥1mm)—(0)
Dry games10.0(6)
Only 0 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs NQL · Runs
Avg diff
+0.8
Avg diff %
+8%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-06GLDKurtis Morrin8.79+4%
08-06GLDJayden Campbell9.49-5%
08-06GLDMoeaki Fotuaika10.711+3%
08-06GLDAJ Brimson9.313+40%
08-06GLDJojo Fifita11.416+40%
07-30SYDVictor Radley11.511-4%
07-30SYDSpencer Leniu8.98-10%
07-30SYDHugo Savala9.49-4%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Saxon's. Computed from this app's own records.