2.4 baseline — 0.6 × season 2.5 (13 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 2.4
−0.1 opponent leak — they concede 181.6/game vs a 185.9 league average
+0.8 at this ground — averages 3.3 there (7 gm)
vs them: averages 3.0 over 1 game — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 14: 6 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o2.5
Game conditions4 Pines Park · SydneyRound 24 · 2026-08-14 18:00☁ 13.6°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 10.2 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Brandonvs all playersStatDOL concedePer game
17.0
8
Run Metresunfavorable
38
1652.5
Brandon 17.0/game
DOL concedes 1652.5/game · league avg 1687.8
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
11
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
13
30.4
Brandon 0.2/game
DOL concedes 30.4/game · league avg 32.7
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
25.1
76
Tacklesfavorable
69
351.7
Brandon 25.1/game
DOL concedes 351.7/game · league avg 344.7
#6 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
52
Triesneutral
38
4.0
Brandon 0.2/game
DOL concedes 4.0/game · league avg 4.2
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
64
Try Assistsneutral
50
3.5
Brandon 0.2/game
DOL concedes 3.5/game · league avg 3.5
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Line Breaksneutral
50
4.8
Brandon 0.0/game
DOL concedes 4.8/game · league avg 5.1
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
20
Offloadsunfavorable
0
8.0
Brandon 0.1/game
DOL concedes 8.0/game · league avg 9.7
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
2.2
4
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
44
539.6
Brandon 2.2/game
DOL concedes 539.6/game · league avg 544.6
#10 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Brandon17.0
8
DOL1652.5
38
Brandon 17.0/game
DOL concedes 1652.5/game · league avg 1687.8
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Brandon0.2
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
DOL concede · Runs
181.6per game · league avg 185.9
#11 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Runs
At 4 Pines Park3.3(7)-2.7
Everywhere else6.0(35)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Runs
Wet games (≥1mm)5.0(2)-0.6
Dry games5.6(40)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs DOL · Runs
Avg diff
+1.7
Avg diff %
+63%
Hit rate
5/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08BRIJaiyden Hunt3.79+141%
08-08BRIBen Hunt3.90-100%
08-08BRIBlake Mozer1.20-100%
08-08BRIBilly Walters2.75+87%
07-31SGIJacob Halangahu3.67+94%
07-31SGILyhkan King-Togia2.211+400%
07-31SGIJacob Liddle3.35+53%
07-19NQLReed Mahoney3.51-71%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Brandon's. Computed from this app's own records.
Nathan Brown11.5