5.0 baseline — 0.6 × season 4.9 (13 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 5.2
+1.1 opponent leak — they concede 28.6/game vs a 23.6 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (1 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 8.0 over 1 game — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
PAR concede · Points
28.6per game · league avg 23.6
#3 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Points
At Allianz Stadium0.0(1)-5.3
Everywhere else5.3(12)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Points
Wet games (≥1mm)8.0(1)+3.3
Dry games4.7(12)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs PAR · Points
Avg diff
-0.9
Avg diff %
-18%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-02WSTAdam Doueihi6.09+50%
07-23PENThomas Jenkins5.64-29%
07-11SYDDaniel Tupou3.712+225%
07-11SYDMark Nawaqanitawase3.80-100%
07-11SYDBilly Smith3.64+10%
07-05MANReuben Garrick4.30-100%
06-25SOUAlex Johnston5.50-100%
06-08CBYMatt Burton3.70-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Latrell's. Computed from this app's own records.